EDUCATION IN AMERICA IS A DISGRACE

Certainly not every school is failing and I’m sure most are dedicated and trying hard to do the best they can to turn out well-educated youngsters.  But the facts tell us that in general our education system is not anywhere near what it should be and can be.  In terms of “proficiency”, a very large percentage of students are currently deficient, too many kids dropout of school and way too many high school graduates are in fact functionally illiterate.

What are we doing about this?  Habitually, when concern over education achievement reaches a critical point, we, the federal and/or state governments, throw money at the problem, and/or increase the number of bureaucrats involved and/or publish more regulations. This has not, is not, will not fix the problem. President Biden’s Dept of Education budget requests were $79.2 billion, FY 2023 and $90 billion, FY 2024.

It is somewhere between difficult and impossible to solve a problem until one adequately defines the problem.  Let’s see if we can get there.

SOME GENERALIZATIONS

Worldwide, there is a correlation between a country’s education system’s quality and its economic status. Quality levels move up from “not developed” nations to “developing” to “developed.” The U.S. should be high on the list.  We are not.

Results from a 2023 Maryland state math exam reveals that 13, which is 40%, of Baltimore’s High Schools did not have a single math-proficient student. ZERO.

 As of first quarter, FY 2024, there are 115,171 schools in the United States; 95,852 public and 19,329 private schools.

TESTING ORGANIZATIONS

There are two organizations that are considered credible when it comes to rating education results. 

PISA, the Programme for International Student Assessment. The international PISA test is taken by 15-year-olds every three years. in 2019, pre Covid, the U.S. ranked 36th out of 79 countries and regions that participated in the test.

NAEP, the National Assessment of Educational Progress tests 4th and 8th graders every two years and 12th grade every four years. NAEP, often referred to as “the nation’s report card,” is a congressionally mandated large-scale assessment administered by the National Center for Education Statistics in various subject areas; mathematics, reading, and science are assessed most frequently. Results are reported based on “gender, race/ethnicity, public or nonpublic school, teacher experience, and hundreds of other factors.” NAEP has been testing in the U.S. for over 50 years.  The point being, they appear to be a credible organization and we should be capable of drawing some conclusions from their findings

The 2019 NAEP results found that U.S. achievement has not progressed over the past decade and, for low-performing students, was the same as 30 years ago.

NAEP student achievement levels are performance standards that describe what students should know and be able to do.:

  • NAEP Basic: This level denotes partial mastery of prerequisite knowledge.
  • NAEP Proficient: This level represents solid academic performance. Students reaching this level have demonstrated competency over challenging subject matter to include application of such knowledge to real world situations
  • NAEP Advanced: This level signifies superior performance.

HOW ARE OUR SCHOOLS DOING?

High school graduation rates vary by state from 82% to 96%.  But that does not necessarily tell the whole story because it is a fact that some states have lowered the standards for graduation in order to achieve a higher number.

According to ELEVATE USA, on average, over a million students drop out of high school in the U.S. every year; that’s 5-6,000 every school day thereby creating a linkage to a life of crime and/or welfare.

“Dropout factories” refer to high schools with less than 60 percent graduating seniors when compared to the number of freshmen. Of the 26,727 public and private high schools in America, almost 2,000 graduate less than 60% of their students. Those dropout factories account for over 50% of the students who leave school every year. One in six U.S. students attend a dropout factory.  One in three minority students (32%) attend a dropout factory compared to 8% of white students.

Throughout the U.S., of those graduating high school, over 20% are unable to pass the test to enter the U.S. military because they are functionally illiterate.

In the U.S., high school dropouts commit about 75% of the crimes.

About 70% of prison inmates do not have a high school diploma.

More snapshots that illustrate the problems in government-run public schools: 

  • Providence, RI:  Only 5% of eighth graders are proficient in math. 
  • Newark, NJ: 21% proficiency in math.
  • North Carolina: From NAEP 2022 testing, 68% of North Carolina fourth graders were not proficient in reading.
  • Wisconsin: Black American eighth graders perform only slightly better than white fourth graders in reading and math. 
  • Oregon Governor Kate Brown quietly signed a bill on July 14, 2020 that suspends a requirement for Oregon students to demonstrate reading, writing and math proficiency in order to receive a diploma.

And so it goes across the country.  A recent survey found that 20% of American adults cannot name even one of the three branches of government.

END OF GRADE TESTING

My sense is that there is too much emphasis on EOG and when a student does not do well on EOG tests, it is already too late to do anything about it. Normally our school systems do not have summer school programs for deficient students. Proficiency deficiencies just get passed on and, of course, compounded the next year as the teacher has to move on to more advanced subjects.  It is a formula that will guarantee failure on through middle and high school and leads us to our country’s unacceptable dropout numbers.

HOW BAD IS THE PROFICIENCY ISSUE?

PRE-COVID NAEP REPORT CARD: In 2019 NAEP tested 150,600 grade 4 students, 143,100 grade 8, and 26,700 grade 12 students and reported the findings.  Here is a summary pulled from a very large comprehensive report:

READING:  The assessment measures reading comprehension by asking students to read selected grade-appropriate materials and answer questions based on what they have read. 

                                                Grade 4           Grade 8           Grade 12

NOT proficient:                         59%                   66%                     76%

MATHEMATICS: The assessment measures both mathematics knowledge and the students’ ability to apply their knowledge in problem-solving situations.

                                                Grade 4           Grade 8           Grade 12

NOT proficient:                         65%                    66%               63%

Other subjects were even worse.  For high school seniors 88% NOT proficient in history, 77% NOT proficient in writing ability and 78% NOT proficient in science.

Also keep in mind that there is a category lower than “proficient.” Many of those who are below proficient are actually in the “basic” category or less.  

CONCLUSIONS

The above narrative and statistics are designed to do two things. One is to impress on you the length and breadth of the overall education crisis. And secondly to begin to identify and then define problems.  If we cannot articulate the problem, there is no solution.

What is the main reason students get poor grades?  Why do they fail end-of-grade tests? Why do they drop out? Why do they graduate high school functionally illiterate? The shortest, simplest answer is, at some point THEY GOT BEHIND.

Once behind they could not catch up and as they moved on to more complex material in the next grade they got even further behind.

If you look at enough of the NAEP proficiency test results one thing will jump off the page. That is, if the proficiency levels are bad in 4th grade they are going to be worse in 8th grade and too often also worse from 8th to 12th.

Once behind, grades continue to get worse, students get frustrated, harassed, ridiculed and get to the point that dropping out looks like a good solution and put school in the rear-view mirror.

UNDERSTANDING THE ABOVE, PERHAPS WE CAN DEFINE TWO PROBLEMS:

  • One, it is inevitable that some students will get behind but, in most schools, there are no adequate systems in place to assist them in quickly catching up. For example, in 2022 only 32% of North Carolina’s 4th grade students scored at or above proficient on the NAEP reading assessment, placing NC 23rd among all states. There is no way for those thousands of kids to catch up during their upcoming 5th grade year.
  • Two, “basic training” is inadequate.  It is a valid conclusion that almost any training regimen in life will begin with what we usually refer to as “basic training”, that is, the fundamentals upon which everything thereafter will hinge. Think of it as the foundation. That is exactly what is supposed to happen in grades K-4, instill a solid foundation for academic excellence. When NAEP test results tell us that across the country 65% of 4th graders are not proficient in math, basic training gets an “F”.

A SOLUTION, THE MAIN ATTACK

Translated, main attack means the three traditional levels of K-12 education, elementary, middle and high school should not be considered equals when it comes to priorities, funding, resourcing, etc. The main attack has to be K-4 with a properly resourced, lasting, comprehensive foundation. One part of the solution might be that all classes K-4 should be smaller with a more effective teacher/student ratio.

WHEN A STUDENT GETS BEHIND, DEFINE THE WHO, WHAT, WHEN, WHERE, WHY and HOW OF ACADEMIC EXCELLENCE?

WHO?

Oversight: We do not need a federal Department of Education. We do not need state Departments of Education.

Local Boards of Education: They are short-term elected officials.  They need to be supportive but cannot be counted on to consistently articulate and lead the strategic plan for academic excellence. 

Superintendents: They must be selected based on their strong leadership abilities and dedication to long-term strategic planning for academic excellence for every school in their district. Resourcing and leading academic excellence must be their number one priority.

School Principals: they must be strong leaders at the operational level; live and breathe academic excellence every day. Their undisputed priorities are number one a safe and secure environment and number two academic excellence in every classroom every day. They must approve every teacher’s layout of lesson plans for every school semester.  Then they must be in the rear of the classrooms part of every school day to assess and if necessary, mentor teachers to perform differently and/or better.

Teachers: Teachers are the first line leaders at the point of execution every school day. Their constant rhythm must be teach/test/teach/test. From weekly testing, immediately identify any student who gets behind and when identified take immediate action.

The U.S. President: Advocate publicly for this academic excellence concept of operations.  Give it a name. Talk about it. In 2002 President Bush signed into law the “No Child Left Behind Act.” It was popular, it was a topic of conversation and most everyone was aware of it.  It also failed.  Why? In the final analysis it was just another big government program costing billion with masses of bureaucrats and regulations just like most of the programs administered by the federal Department of Education since 1979 which has led us to where we are today, knee deep in an education crisis. Call this program, No Child Gets Behind.

President Trump should try to build the same level of awareness that No Child Left Behind had but in its place advocate for No Child Gets Behind that is free, no government oversight and no government regulations.  Make No Child Gets Behind a program that totally lives within the 13,253 U.S. school districts.

The NAEP, National Assessment of Education Progress is actually a testing organization buried within the Department of Education.  The president should increase their budget to include more testing during the K-4 Main Attack phase.

Governors:  They should publicly support this decentralized academic excellence, No Child Gets Behind endeavor. Publicly celebrate the state’s best performing school district. The Governor could host an academic excellence best-practices web site to spread the best thinking to all of the state’s school districts.

Unions:  They are a bigger part of the problem than the solution.  You can count on it, they will raise hell about teachers having to spend time doing more testing. National education unions should have zero input or influence on education policy and practices. 

The Academic Excellence Team: At the point of execution, the academic excellence team, consisting of the parents, teacher and student, must be in continuous communications with respect to academic excellence and particularly with respect to a student that is getting behind in their proficiency level.

That was WHO should be involved, now:

WHAT SHOULD TAKE PLACE?

For every project or operation there is a center of gravity.  Center of gravity can be a person, place and/or circumstance that is central to success or could cause failure. Centers of gravity must be identified by the leaders before the beginning of every phase of an operation, resourced and tracked continuously.

Testing is the center of gravity for academic excellence and, as pointed out above, relying on End of Grade testing is grossly insufficient.

Make every Thursday quiz day throughout the entire school. That is, test the material that was covered over the previous few days.  Short simple questions with short simple answers; the test can be administered in only a few minutes and graded quickly.  Jimmy failed the quiz and the immediate assumption must be that he is behind.

At the dinner table every Wednesday parents should be asking Jimmy and Susan, “are you ready for the quiz tomorrow?”

Weekly quizzes will be reinforced with regular 6-week testing followed by issuing individual report cards that must be returned with a parent signature.

The school Principal must ensure that a catch-up model is in-place and operational at all times.

Jimmy is behind. First, the teacher will activate the academic excellence team; that is, get the parents involved. Inform then that Jimmy will have extensive homework for the weekend that must be signed by the parents before Jimmy returns to class the following Monday morning. If necessary, continue sending homework home every day for the following week.  Again, all returned homework must be signed by the parents. 

The second part of the Principal’s catch-up model is a team of volunteer tutors who are available for after-school mentoring of students whose parents are unable, and/or unwilling to help their child through the homework which is tailored to get the student who is behind back on track quickly.

RESOURCING THIS SOLUTION

Billions of dollars? No. More bureaucrats for oversight? No. More regulations? No.

What it will take is stronger leadership, concise standards, ingenuity, a national consensus for change and less or no education union interference.  

WHEN should all this take place?

Now. President Trump should meet with all of the Governors for a session specifically on education. Explain all of the above to them in detail.

Then he should address the nation specifically on the subject of education. Make it clear to the American public that the 13,253 school district Superintendents must lead the effort locally, must innovate, must change, must seek out and implement best practices.

President Trump should explain that the habitual failed solution of throwing billions of dollars, bureaucrats and regulations at a national crisis is not how his government is going to operate. He has faith in the American people to solve the problem at their level.

WHERE should this take place?

Obviously, in every public and private school in America.

WHY are we doing this?

Education results in America are unbecoming of our great nation and are degrading the work force.

HOW are we going to do it?

With American leadership, intuition, grit and determination, just as we have solved every other great crisis throughout our history.

BOTTOM LINE:

Some of you are saying, so Covault you believe all we have to do is begin giving quizzes on Thursday and the education crisis will be solved.

My response is threefold:

One, nothing the governments, county to federal, are doing is working.

Two, it’s not just giving quizzes.  It’s about giving quizzes in an organizational environment that is totally committed, from the student/parent/teacher team to the Superintendent, local Board of Education and to the local community, to an uncompromising all-encompassing culture of academic excellence.

Three, if you have a better idea that also does not cost anything, I’m all ears.  

A final thought. We are fortunate to have J.D. Vance as our Vice President. Intelligent, likeable, articulate, great background, great family etc. etc., he has the potential to be one of the greatest VPs in our history and be perfectly positioned to follow President Trump in 2028.  But he should not languish as VP.  He needs President Trump to delegate some of the most important issues and problems to him.  Regaining academic excellence throughout America could be one of those issues.  If President chooses to address the American citizens on the education crisis, it would be the perfect time to introduce J.D. Vance as the education czar.  It is another good reason to eliminate the Dept of Education from the Executive Branch.

Motivate, don’t regulate. Decentralized execution is the center of gravity for achieving academic excellence again.

“Education is the wellspring from which a nation ascends … or the quagmire into which it sinks.  Education is everything.”  Michael Russell

ADD “WELFARE TO WORK” TO PRESIDENT TRUMP’S TO-DO LIST

ADD “WELFARE TO WORK” TO PRESIDENT TRUMP’S TO-DO LIST

Why add fixing welfare to President Trump’s list?  Because President Clinton and Speaker Newt Gingrich put in a major fix in 1996 and Obama/Biden tore it apart.  Now we have a welfare crisis, control of Congress and it can/should get fixed.  It is another action that will save the taxpayers billions of dollars by putting people back to work.

There are masses of numbers associated with work, workers and welfare. My intent was to sort through it all and paint a numbers picture of the work, worker, welfare situation in America today.  Numbers are the story and it is not a pretty picture.

LABOR PARTICIPATION RATE

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the labor force participation rate is an estimate of an economy’s active workforce. The formula is the number of people ages 16 and older who are employed or actively seeking employment, divided by the total civilian working-age population.

Background; when Obama/Biden took over in January 2009 the labor participation rate was 65.7%. That was the beginning of an 8-year steady decline until they departed the White House January 2017 with a participation rate of 62.8%’ about a 3% decline. Is 3% a big deal?  Yes, it’s significant because in 2017 there were 165.2 million workers involved. Each percentage point represents 1.652 million workers time 3 percent equals an Obam/Biden loss of about 5 million workers. That was an element of Obama’s declared formula to “fundamentally transform America.”

President Trump got the participation rate up from the Obama/Biden low of 62.8% to 63.3% in his first two years in office. By 2019 pre-covid, that was an increase of over 800,000 workers.

During 2024 the U.S. labor force participation rate has ranged between a low of 62.5% (January) and a high of 62.6%. (October). And Biden kept telling us how successful Bidenomics has been and that he has added 15 million jobs.  No, it didn’t happen, not even close. An increase of one tenth of one percent represents about 165,000, jobs, not 15 million.

PRESIDENT CLINTON AND SPEAKER NEWT GINGRICH, 1996

In 1996 President Bill Clinton signed the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act. The legislation substantially reconstructed the nation’s welfare system by giving state governments more autonomy over welfare services while also reducing the federal government’s role. Yes, President Trump, it can be done.

The Welfare-to-Work Act, as it became known, provided for the following:

  • The act ended welfare as an entitlement program.
  • Required recipients to begin working after two years of receiving benefits.
  • Placed a lifetime limit of five years on benefits paid by federal funds.
  • Sought to encourage two-parent families and to discourage out-of-wedlock births.
  • Enhanced enforcement of child support.
  • Stricter conditions for food stamps eligibility, reductions in immigrant welfare assistance, and recipient work requirements.
  • And required state professional and occupational licenses to be withheld from undocumented immigrants.

As he signed the bill on August 22, 1996, President Clinton stated that the act “gives us a chance we haven’t had before to break the cycle of dependency that has existed for millions and millions of our fellow citizens, exiling them from the world of work. It gives structure, meaning and dignity to most of our lives”.

The Welfare to Work Act created a foundational principle of “personal responsibility”; it changed the culture of U.S. welfare. Now, 28 years later, we can/should do it again.

TANF, TEMPORARY ASSISTANCE FOR NEEDY FAMILIES

The Welfare to Work Act ended six decades of federal government control of the programs. In the process of dismantling the old model, President Clinton created something, different and critical to success; the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families program, TANF, which changed the financing and benefit structure of cash welfare assistance. Instead of welfare being funded in an open-ended manner, welfare became funded by federal block grants to states, along with a requirement that states had to match some of the federal dollars.

TANF:

  • Added work requirements for aid, shrinking the number of adults who could qualify for benefits.
  • It created caps for how long and how much aid a person could receive.
  • It instituted harsher punishments for recipients who did not comply with the requirements.

Following on, President Bush called on the Senate to take action to continue the historic progress of welfare reform and ensure that more Americans are able to achieve independence through work.

Did TANF work?  In its annual report to Congress on the level of welfare dependency in the country, the Department of Health and Human Services found that 4.7 million fewer Americans were dependent on welfare three years after welfare reform was first passed in 1996. The percentage of the population dependent on welfare fell from 5.2% to 3.3% during that time. Yes, it worked and it can work again, President Trump.

WELFARE AND POVERTY, THEY ARE CONNECTED

As the rate of welfare dependency declined, the overall poverty rate in America fell. In the four years following enactment of welfare reform, 5.4 million fewer Americans were in poverty. Within those four years, the poverty rate for all individuals fell from 13.7% to 11.3%, the lowest rate since 1979.

2009: ENTER OBAMA/BIDEN WITH THEIR AMERICAN TRANSFORMATION SCHEME.

“Without authority, Obama moves workers back to welfare” were the headlines.

In a classic case of Executive Branch abuse of regularity power, Obama/Biden cut the legs off from the TANF program by informing the states that they could apply to the Secretary of the federal Department of Health and Human Services for a waiver of the work requirements contained in the law.  That Obama/Biden move could have and should have been challenged by Congress and/or the Supreme Court because the work requirement was an essential element of the law and one that the statute specifically said cannot be waived. But it was not challenged.

The Obama/Biden initiative killed a 12-year-old successful program with the following negative ramifications: 

  • As previously pointed out, the U.S. labor force participation rate went down about 3% which meant that about 5 million able-bodied welfare recipients did not transition from welfare to work.
  • The federal government essentially regained control of the welfare program and reverted back to the bad-old-days. Vote buying.
  • Obama/Biden significantly added to the size of the Welfare/Poverty Identity Group voting block that, understandably, can be relied on to vote for the democrats.
  • The Congressional Research Service reported that the number of able-bodied adults on food stamps doubled after Obama suspended work requirements.
  • By 2016, a record 47 million Americans receive food stamps, about 13 million more than when Obama/Biden took office.
  • Increased welfare does not solve the poverty issue. The Census Bureau put the number of Americans in poverty at 45.3 million as of 2013. That’s about 5.5 million more people in poverty than there were in 2008 before Obama/Biden took office.
  • When the labor force participation falls, tax revenue falls and government revenue is reduced as welfare costs go up; the perfect formula for deficit spending and long-rang debt increases.
  • Government spending on welfare increased 32% during the Obama/Biden first term.

WHAT DID BIDEN LEARN DURING HIS 8-YEAR TUTELAGE UNDER OBAMA?

Biden’s first budget submission in 2021 expanded welfare without work incentives setting the stage to trap a new generation of Americans into a cycle of dependency and thus poverty.   In fiscal year 2022, the federal government spent$1.19 trillion   on more than 80 different welfare programs. That represents almost 20% of total federal spending and a quarter of tax revenues in 2022. The Congressional Budget Office has projected $12.7 trillion in spending on these programs over the FY 2024-2033 budget window.

What did Biden learn from Obama? He learned how to advance the movement towards a welfare state. I am not suggesting that Obama/Biden want the U.S. to become a socialist society.  But if one looks carefully at the widely-accepted formula for transforming to a socialist nation, consider the following:

What are Obama’s building blocks to “systematically transform America? They came from Saul Alinsky, 1909-1972, a Chicago-based organizer, community activist and political theorist. Considered the father of community organizers, he became Obama’s philosophical mentor; Obama quotes him often in his book.

It is enlightening to align Alinsky’s “eight steps from democracy to a socialist society” with what has happened to America under Obama/Biden leadership.

  • Step one, healthcare: “Control Healthcare and you control the People.” Democrats campaigned in 2020 for “Medicare for all.”  
  • Step two, poverty: “Increase the poverty level as high as possible, Poor People are easier to control and will not fight back if the government is providing everything for them to live.”

Here are some 2022 quick facts about poverty provided by Poverty USA. The poverty threshold for an individual is a household income of approximately $13,000 per year, and it’s roughly $26,000 per year for a family of four. 37 million Americans are living in poverty, which makes the poverty rate 11.4%. There are over 11 million children in poverty.

  • Three, debt: “Increase the National Debt to an unsustainable level.” Obama/Biden created more national debt in 8 years than all previous administrations in U.S. history combined.
  • Four, gun control: “Remove the ability to defend themselves from the Government.  That way you are able to create a Police State with total local control.”  Gun control is a habitual Democrat priority subject. 
  • Five, welfare: “Take control of every aspect of their lives, food, livestock, housing, and income.” Government spending on welfare increased 32% during the Obama/Biden first term.
  • Six, education: “Take control of what People read and listen to; take control of what Children learn in school.” That is currently happening across the nation in grades K-12 and in colleges and universities and hopefully fixing education is already on President Trump’s to-do list.
  • Seven, religion: “Remove faith in God from the government and schools.” Almost there.
  • Eight, class warfare: “Divide the people into the wealthy against the poor. This will cause more discontent and it will be easier to tax the wealthy with full support of
    the voting poor
    .” This was the Democrat campaign plan in 2024, “Tax the rich”.

If you believe the Alinsky eight steps to socialism has some validity, and if you also believe the lid is already on the coffin, all that remains is to nail it down. President Trump, we need to act now to reverse these trends.

CONCLUSION:

The government is complicit in supporting those who can work but choose not to. Complicit how? By supporting a welfare system that can cause millions of Americas to literally sign up for and be captured in a (President Clinton’s words), “cycle of dependency.”

BOTTOM LINE WITH NUMBERS:

  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that in2024 there are about 209 million working-age men in America,
  • About 89% of them, (186 million) have a job or are actively looking for a job.
  • That tells us there are about 23 million men who do not have a job and are not looking for one.
  • it is not an issue of not being able to find a job, 23 million have simply opted out altogether and are living on the government dole.
  • Meanwhile, a federal count from November 2023 tells us that more than 770,000 manufacturing jobs were open and manufacturing workers are, on average, earning more than $30 an hour.
  • The U.S. welfare system consists of 80+ federal programs providing cash, food, housing, medical care, social services, training, and targeted education aid to poor and low-income Americans. Too much.  Too invasive. And for too many, obviously too tempting. 

Americans are the most benevolent people on earth.  We will always take care of those who cannot take care of themselves.  But 80+ government welfare programs run by an enormous out of control bureaucracy can actually cause more harm than good. That is evidenced by comparing the Welfare-to-Work results from 1996 to 2008 against the Obama/Biden transformation formula.   

America was built on a culture of hard work and generally we do not look favorably on those who can work but choose instead to sit on their ass and wait for their monthly welfare checks from we-the-working-people.

The statistical gains for Americans during the 1996-2008 Temporary Assistance for Needy Families are not just proof of concept, they are proof of policy.  The how to make Welfare to Work a reality again is there for the taking. Just make it happen President Trump.